Skip to main contentGeneral Prediction Markets
Create prediction markets on any topic - sport, politics, tech, bitcoin, culture, and more.
Settlement: Perplexity + Grok
Step 1: Choose Your Market Type
Select “General Markets” from the available market types to create custom prediction markets on any topic.
Step 2: Define Your Question
Craft a clear, unambiguous prediction question that can be definitively resolved.
Your question should have a specific outcome and deadline.
Best Practices:
- Make questions binary (Yes/No) or with clear multiple choice options
- Set specific, measurable criteria
- Define a clear resolution date
- Avoid ambiguous language
Step 3: Set Prediction Parameters
Define the parameters for your prediction market:
Example Questions:
- “Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?”
- “Will the next US Presidential election be won by a Democrat?”
- “Will Apple announce a new product category in 2025?”
- “Will any team score over 50 points in the Super Bowl 2026?”
Choose your market category (Politics, Sports, Entertainment, Technology, Finance, etc.)
Set the resolution date and time
Market Settlement
Markets settle based on the defined criteria when the prediction timeframe ends.
Settlement is done through Perplexity + Grok verification, which:
- Searches and analyzes reliable data sources
- Cross-references multiple information streams
- Verifies outcomes against predefined criteria
- Provides transparent reasoning for the settlement decision
The settlement process ensures accuracy by leveraging both Perplexity’s search capabilities and Grok’s analytical reasoning.
Popular Use Cases
- Political elections and policy outcomes
- Sports championships and player performance
- Entertainment awards and box office predictions
- Technology product launches and company milestones
- Economic indicators and market movements
- Weather events and natural phenomena
- Celebrity and pop culture predictions
