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Create prediction markets based on Twitter post performance metrics like retweets, likes, replies, or impressions.
Settlement: Automatic via Twitter API integration
Step 1: Choose Your Market Type
Select “Twitter Markets” from the available market types to create social media-based prediction markets.
Navigate to Twitter/X and find the tweet you want to create a market for.
Copy the tweet URL from the address bar or by clicking “Copy link to Tweet”.
Paste the copied tweet URL into the Twitter market creation interface.
The system will automatically fetch the latest engagement data using Twitter API.
Step 4: Set Your Prediction Question
Craft your prediction question based on the tweet’s metrics. Here are some example questions:
Example Questions:
- “Will this tweet reach 10,000 likes or more by February 5, 2026?”
- “Will this tweet get retweeted 5,000 times or more by the end of this week?”
- “Will the tweet impressions exceed 1 million within the next 48 hours?”
Choose what to predict about the tweet - likes, retweets, replies, impressions, or engagement rate.
Select a timeframe for your prediction - end of hour, day, week, or month.
Uses Twitter API to fetch the latest engagement metrics and real-time data.
Market Settlement
Markets automatically settle using our Twitter API integration when the prediction timeframe ends.
After settlement, the system verifies the outcome by checking the actual engagement data and metrics for the tweet.
The settlement process ensures accuracy by cross-referencing multiple data points from Twitter API.
Popular Use Cases
- Predicting viral potential of trending tweets
- Forecasting engagement for product launches
- Estimating retweet counts for breaking news
- Predicting like counts for influencer posts
- Forecasting reply counts for controversial topics
